Investment thesis
Regime-adaptive — economic intuition. Financial time series alternate between trending and mean-reverting regimes. A single static strategy is structurally mis-specified in at least one regime. This family detects the regime and switches logic, monetising regime-transition risk that pure trend or pure mean-reversion books leave on the table.
Risk-adjusted performance — live track record
Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.
| Return | Value | Risk-adjusted | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current portfolio worth | $12128.81 | Sharpe ratio | 3.63 | |
| Total return | 21.29% | Sortino ratio | 3.90 | |
| CAGR | 115.16% | Calmar ratio | 16.39 | |
| Volatility (annualised) | 19.67% | Profit factor | 2.20 | |
| Days live | 71 | Maximum drawdown | -7.03% |
Process consistency
| Positive months | 66.7% |
| Best month | 11.13% |
| Worst month | -0.02% |
| Recovery from max drawdown | still underwater |
Market independence
Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.
| Benchmark | Correlation | 90-day rolling correlation | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) | 0.85 | 0.00 | 1.48 |
| Bitcoin (BTC-USD) | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.17 |
A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.
Equity curve
Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.
Drawdown profile
Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.
Current holdings
| Symbol | Quantity |
|---|---|
| QQQ | 16.4336 |
| USD | 0.0000 |
Research & documentation
- Strategy deep-dive: AdaptiveMeanReversionBot: strategy deep-dive & live performance
- Methodology write-up: AdaptiveMeanReversionBot
- Reference implementation:
tradingbot/adaptivemeanreversionbot.py - Framework: python_tradingbot_framework (open source, fully inspectable)
Related strategies
Other strategies in the Regime-adaptive family:
- RegimeAdaptiveBot · research note- TARegimeAdaptiveBot · research note Or view the full strategy roster.
For professional investors
Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.
Request access