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Investment thesis

Sentiment & news — economic intuition. Information is absorbed into prices with a delay that scales with dissemination friction. By quantifying news tone, fear/greed positioning, and aggregated sentiment, the strategy captures the gap between information arrival and market clearing — a behavioural premium that exists because human attention is finite.

Risk-adjusted performance — live track record

Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.

ReturnValueRisk-adjustedValue
Current portfolio worth$11538.61Sharpe ratio3.40
Total return15.39%Sortino ratio7.62
CAGR41.36%Calmar ratio6.85
Volatility (annualised)13.37%Profit factor2.51
Days live82Maximum drawdown-6.04%

Process consistency

Positive months40.0%
Best month12.67%
Worst month-2.28%
Recovery from max drawdown26 days

Market independence

Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.

BenchmarkCorrelation90-day rolling correlationBeta
S&P 500 (SPY)0.610.000.90
Bitcoin (BTC-USD)0.160.000.07

A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.

Equity curve

Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.

FearGreedBotQQQ live equity curve

Drawdown profile

Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.

FearGreedBotQQQ drawdown profile

Current holdings

SymbolQuantity
QQQ16.2262
USD0.0000

Research & documentation

🛡️ Skin in the game: Our principals and founders deploy their own capital alongside our clients using these exact quantitative models. We are aligned with your downside.

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For professional investors

Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.

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