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Investment thesis

Sentiment & news — economic intuition. Information is absorbed into prices with a delay that scales with dissemination friction. By quantifying news tone, fear/greed positioning, and aggregated sentiment, the strategy captures the gap between information arrival and market clearing — a behavioural premium that exists because human attention is finite.

Risk-adjusted performance — live track record

Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.

ReturnValueRisk-adjustedValue
Current portfolio worth$11461.94Sharpe ratio2.94
Total return14.62%Sortino ratio4.89
CAGR40.04%Calmar ratio6.26
Volatility (annualised)15.00%Profit factor2.08
Days live81Maximum drawdown-6.39%

Process consistency

Positive months40.0%
Best month13.02%
Worst month-3.23%
Recovery from max drawdown26 days

Market independence

Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.

BenchmarkCorrelation90-day rolling correlationBeta
S&P 500 (SPY)0.740.001.22
Bitcoin (BTC-USD)0.270.000.13

A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.

Equity curve

Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.

FearGreedBotQQQInverse live equity curve

Drawdown profile

Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.

FearGreedBotQQQInverse drawdown profile

Current holdings

SymbolQuantity
QQQ16.1184
USD0.0000

Research & documentation

🛡️ Skin in the game: Our principals and founders deploy their own capital alongside our clients using these exact quantitative models. We are aligned with your downside.

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For professional investors

Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.

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