Investment thesis
Regime-adaptive — economic intuition. Financial time series alternate between trending and mean-reverting regimes. A single static strategy is structurally mis-specified in at least one regime. This family detects the regime and switches logic, monetising regime-transition risk that pure trend or pure mean-reversion books leave on the table.
Risk-adjusted performance — live track record
Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.
| Return | Value | Risk-adjusted | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current portfolio worth | $10215.56 | Sharpe ratio | 0.79 | |
| Total return | 2.11% | Sortino ratio | 1.17 | |
| CAGR | 6.75% | Calmar ratio | 2.88 | |
| Volatility (annualised) | 7.41% | Profit factor | 1.18 | |
| Days live | 96 | Maximum drawdown | -2.34% |
Process consistency
| Positive months | 50.0% |
| Best month | 2.93% |
| Worst month | -1.69% |
| Recovery from max drawdown | still underwater |
Market independence
Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.
| Benchmark | Correlation | 90-day rolling correlation | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) | 0.56 | 0.00 | 0.36 |
| Bitcoin (BTC-USD) | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.07 |
A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.
Equity curve
Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.

Drawdown profile
Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.

Current holdings
| Symbol | Quantity |
|---|---|
| 2B76.DE | 4.3986 |
| AAPL | 0.2757 |
| ADBE | 0.4125 |
| AMD | 0.1581 |
| AMZN | 0.3377 |
| AVAX-USD | 12.0119 |
| BNXG.DE | 0.4742 |
| BSV | 1.0454 |
| BTC-USD | 0.0013 |
| BTEC.L | 9.1403 |
| DBA | 3.0451 |
| DBB | 3.2082 |
| DBE | 2.9548 |
| DBMF | 2.6036 |
| DBO | 4.3087 |
| DG | 0.7449 |
| EEM | 1.1805 |
| ETH-USD | 0.0466 |
| FAS | 0.5378 |
| FNDX | 2.6355 |
| GLD | 0.2083 |
| GOOG | 0.2236 |
| IWDA.AS | 0.6523 |
| KDP | 2.6209 |
| L0CK.DE | 8.2467 |
| LLY | 0.0728 |
| META | 0.1427 |
| MSFT | 0.2137 |
| NOC | 0.1482 |
| NTSX | 1.3828 |
| NVDA | 0.3955 |
| PGR | 0.3936 |
| PYPL | 1.9235 |
| QQQ | 0.1121 |
| RENW.DE | 5.0505 |
| RWL | 0.6360 |
| SHV | 46.2819 |
| SQQQ | 2.0470 |
| TEAM | 0.9361 |
| TMF | 2.2564 |
| TQQQ | 1.0449 |
| TSLA | 0.2043 |
| UNH | 0.2026 |
| UPRO | 0.5836 |
| URA | 1.7182 |
| URTH | 0.4070 |
| USD | 0.0000 |
| UUP | 2.8661 |
| VAW | 0.3451 |
| VCR | 0.2097 |
| VDC | 0.3568 |
| VDE | 0.5247 |
| VFH | 0.6115 |
| VGT | 0.6923 |
| VHT | 0.2871 |
| VIS | 0.2314 |
| VLUE | 0.4121 |
| VNQ | 0.8469 |
| VOX | 0.4364 |
| VPU | 0.4217 |
| VTV | 0.3747 |
| W1TA.DE | 1.6083 |
| WM | 0.3751 |
| WOOD | 1.2110 |
| XAIX.DE | 0.3868 |
Research & documentation
- Strategy deep-dive: RegimeAdaptiveBot: strategy deep-dive & live performance
- Methodology write-up: RegimeAdaptiveBot
- Reference implementation:
tradingbot/regimeadaptivebot.py - Framework: python_tradingbot_framework (open source, fully inspectable)
Related strategies
Other strategies in the Regime-adaptive family:
- TARegimeAdaptiveBot · research note- AdaptiveMeanReversionBot · research note Or view the full strategy roster.
For professional investors
Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.
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