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Investment thesis

Regime-adaptive — economic intuition. Financial time series alternate between trending and mean-reverting regimes. A single static strategy is structurally mis-specified in at least one regime. This family detects the regime and switches logic, monetising regime-transition risk that pure trend or pure mean-reversion books leave on the table.

Risk-adjusted performance — live track record

Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.

ReturnValueRisk-adjustedValue
Current portfolio worth$10270.97Sharpe ratio1.52
Total return2.67%Sortino ratio2.65
CAGR14.29%Calmar ratio6.21
Volatility (annualised)9.02%Profit factor1.38
Days live51Maximum drawdown-2.30%

Process consistency

Positive months66.7%
Best month2.93%
Worst month-1.69%
Recovery from max drawdown24 days

Market independence

Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.

BenchmarkCorrelation90-day rolling correlationBeta
S&P 500 (SPY)0.380.000.31
Bitcoin (BTC-USD)0.240.000.06

A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.

Equity curve

Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.

RegimeAdaptiveBot live equity curve

Drawdown profile

Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.

RegimeAdaptiveBot drawdown profile

Current holdings

SymbolQuantity
2B76.DE5.1554
AAPL0.2937
ADBE0.3135
AMD0.2644
AMZN0.3142
AVAX-USD8.5312
BNXG.DE0.5452
BSV1.0198
BTC-USD0.0010
BTEC.L9.0573
DBA2.9310
DBB3.1917
DBE2.6854
DBMF2.6427
DBO3.9237
DG0.6578
EEM1.2658
ETH-USD0.0339
FAS0.5769
FNDX2.7450
GLD0.1843
GOOG0.2391
IWDA.AS0.6882
KDP3.0233
L0CK.DE8.7549
LLY0.0871
META0.1191
MSFT0.1854
NOC0.1361
NTSX1.4341
NVDA0.3964
PGR0.3964
PYPL1.5672
QQQ0.1225
RENW.DE5.3938
RWL0.6636
SHV45.8258
SQQQ1.4658
TEAM1.0842
TMF2.1915
TQQQ1.3326
TSLA0.2040
UNH0.2270
UPRO0.6386
URA1.3911
URTH0.4136
USD0.0000
UUP2.9303
VAW0.3425
VCR0.2049
VDC0.3539
VDE0.5047
VFH0.6276
VGT0.7453
VHT0.2893
VIS0.2388
VLUE0.5043
VNQ0.8550
VOX0.4075
VPU0.4130
VTV0.3956
W1TA.DE1.6609
WM0.3554
WOOD1.1359
XAIX.DE0.4774

Research & documentation

🛡️ Skin in the game: Our principals and founders deploy their own capital alongside our clients using these exact quantitative models. We are aligned with your downside.

Other strategies in the Regime-adaptive family:


For professional investors

Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.

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