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Investment thesis

Regime-adaptive — economic intuition. Financial time series alternate between trending and mean-reverting regimes. A single static strategy is structurally mis-specified in at least one regime. This family detects the regime and switches logic, monetising regime-transition risk that pure trend or pure mean-reversion books leave on the table.

Risk-adjusted performance — live track record

Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.

ReturnValueRisk-adjustedValue
Current portfolio worth$10215.56Sharpe ratio0.79
Total return2.11%Sortino ratio1.17
CAGR6.75%Calmar ratio2.88
Volatility (annualised)7.41%Profit factor1.18
Days live96Maximum drawdown-2.34%

Process consistency

Positive months50.0%
Best month2.93%
Worst month-1.69%
Recovery from max drawdownstill underwater

Market independence

Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.

BenchmarkCorrelation90-day rolling correlationBeta
S&P 500 (SPY)0.560.000.36
Bitcoin (BTC-USD)0.310.320.07

A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.

Equity curve

Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.

RegimeAdaptiveBot live equity curve

Drawdown profile

Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.

RegimeAdaptiveBot drawdown profile

Current holdings

SymbolQuantity
2B76.DE4.3986
AAPL0.2757
ADBE0.4125
AMD0.1581
AMZN0.3377
AVAX-USD12.0119
BNXG.DE0.4742
BSV1.0454
BTC-USD0.0013
BTEC.L9.1403
DBA3.0451
DBB3.2082
DBE2.9548
DBMF2.6036
DBO4.3087
DG0.7449
EEM1.1805
ETH-USD0.0466
FAS0.5378
FNDX2.6355
GLD0.2083
GOOG0.2236
IWDA.AS0.6523
KDP2.6209
L0CK.DE8.2467
LLY0.0728
META0.1427
MSFT0.2137
NOC0.1482
NTSX1.3828
NVDA0.3955
PGR0.3936
PYPL1.9235
QQQ0.1121
RENW.DE5.0505
RWL0.6360
SHV46.2819
SQQQ2.0470
TEAM0.9361
TMF2.2564
TQQQ1.0449
TSLA0.2043
UNH0.2026
UPRO0.5836
URA1.7182
URTH0.4070
USD0.0000
UUP2.8661
VAW0.3451
VCR0.2097
VDC0.3568
VDE0.5247
VFH0.6115
VGT0.6923
VHT0.2871
VIS0.2314
VLUE0.4121
VNQ0.8469
VOX0.4364
VPU0.4217
VTV0.3747
W1TA.DE1.6083
WM0.3751
WOOD1.2110
XAIX.DE0.3868

Research & documentation

🛡️ Skin in the game: Our principals and founders deploy their own capital alongside our clients using these exact quantitative models. We are aligned with your downside.

Other strategies in the Regime-adaptive family:


For professional investors

Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.

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