Investment thesis
Regime-adaptive — economic intuition. Financial time series alternate between trending and mean-reverting regimes. A single static strategy is structurally mis-specified in at least one regime. This family detects the regime and switches logic, monetising regime-transition risk that pure trend or pure mean-reversion books leave on the table.
Risk-adjusted performance — live track record
Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.
| Return | Value | Risk-adjusted | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current portfolio worth | $10254.48 | Sharpe ratio | 0.85 | |
| Total return | 2.50% | Sortino ratio | 1.24 | |
| CAGR | 7.19% | Calmar ratio | 3.07 | |
| Volatility (annualised) | 7.03% | Profit factor | 1.20 | |
| Days live | 109 | Maximum drawdown | -2.34% |
Process consistency
| Positive months | 60.0% |
| Best month | 2.93% |
| Worst month | -1.69% |
| Recovery from max drawdown | still underwater |
Market independence
Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.
| Benchmark | Correlation | 90-day rolling correlation | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) | 0.56 | 0.00 | 0.35 |
| Bitcoin (BTC-USD) | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.07 |
A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.
Equity curve
Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.

Drawdown profile
Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.

Current holdings
| Symbol | Quantity |
|---|---|
| 2B76.DE | 4.2508 |
| AAPL | 0.2757 |
| ADBE | 0.3846 |
| AMD | 0.1500 |
| AMZN | 0.3357 |
| AVAX-USD | 12.1637 |
| BNXG.DE | 0.5071 |
| BSV | 1.0454 |
| BTC-USD | 0.0014 |
| BTEC.L | 8.4514 |
| DBA | 3.0451 |
| DBB | 3.3853 |
| DBE | 3.1552 |
| DBMF | 2.6468 |
| DBO | 4.7252 |
| DG | 0.7041 |
| EEM | 1.2198 |
| ETH-USD | 0.0503 |
| FAS | 0.5170 |
| FNDX | 2.6355 |
| GLD | 0.2201 |
| GOOG | 0.2267 |
| IWDA.AS | 0.6523 |
| KDP | 2.4305 |
| L0CK.DE | 7.7151 |
| LLY | 0.0681 |
| META | 0.1324 |
| MSFT | 0.2112 |
| NOC | 0.1560 |
| NTSX | 1.3828 |
| NVDA | 0.4106 |
| PGR | 0.3601 |
| PYPL | 1.8410 |
| QQQ | 0.1121 |
| RENW.DE | 5.1369 |
| RWL | 0.6360 |
| SHV | 46.4494 |
| SQQQ | 2.1418 |
| TEAM | 0.9757 |
| TMF | 2.3317 |
| TQQQ | 1.0471 |
| TSLA | 0.1907 |
| UNH | 0.1902 |
| UPRO | 0.5739 |
| URA | 1.8789 |
| URTH | 0.4015 |
| USD | 0.0000 |
| UUP | 2.8245 |
| VAW | 0.3510 |
| VCR | 0.2036 |
| VDC | 0.3592 |
| VDE | 0.5433 |
| VFH | 0.6037 |
| VGT | 0.6923 |
| VHT | 0.2697 |
| VIS | 0.2279 |
| VLUE | 0.4121 |
| VNQ | 0.8306 |
| VOX | 0.4295 |
| VPU | 0.4194 |
| VTV | 0.3747 |
| W1TA.DE | 1.7005 |
| WM | 0.3607 |
| WOOD | 1.2165 |
| XAIX.DE | 0.3868 |
Research & documentation
- Strategy deep-dive: RegimeAdaptiveBot: strategy deep-dive & live performance
- Methodology write-up: RegimeAdaptiveBot
- Reference implementation:
tradingbot/regimeadaptivebot.py - Framework: python_tradingbot_framework (open source, fully inspectable)
Related strategies
Other strategies in the Regime-adaptive family:
- TARegimeAdaptiveBot · research note- AdaptiveMeanReversionBot · research note Or view the full strategy roster.
For professional investors
Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.
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