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Investment thesis

Regime-adaptive — economic intuition. Financial time series alternate between trending and mean-reverting regimes. A single static strategy is structurally mis-specified in at least one regime. This family detects the regime and switches logic, monetising regime-transition risk that pure trend or pure mean-reversion books leave on the table.

Risk-adjusted performance — live track record

Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.

ReturnValueRisk-adjustedValue
Current portfolio worth$10254.48Sharpe ratio0.85
Total return2.50%Sortino ratio1.24
CAGR7.19%Calmar ratio3.07
Volatility (annualised)7.03%Profit factor1.20
Days live109Maximum drawdown-2.34%

Process consistency

Positive months60.0%
Best month2.93%
Worst month-1.69%
Recovery from max drawdownstill underwater

Market independence

Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.

BenchmarkCorrelation90-day rolling correlationBeta
S&P 500 (SPY)0.560.000.35
Bitcoin (BTC-USD)0.320.310.07

A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.

Equity curve

Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.

RegimeAdaptiveBot live equity curve

Drawdown profile

Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.

RegimeAdaptiveBot drawdown profile

Current holdings

SymbolQuantity
2B76.DE4.2508
AAPL0.2757
ADBE0.3846
AMD0.1500
AMZN0.3357
AVAX-USD12.1637
BNXG.DE0.5071
BSV1.0454
BTC-USD0.0014
BTEC.L8.4514
DBA3.0451
DBB3.3853
DBE3.1552
DBMF2.6468
DBO4.7252
DG0.7041
EEM1.2198
ETH-USD0.0503
FAS0.5170
FNDX2.6355
GLD0.2201
GOOG0.2267
IWDA.AS0.6523
KDP2.4305
L0CK.DE7.7151
LLY0.0681
META0.1324
MSFT0.2112
NOC0.1560
NTSX1.3828
NVDA0.4106
PGR0.3601
PYPL1.8410
QQQ0.1121
RENW.DE5.1369
RWL0.6360
SHV46.4494
SQQQ2.1418
TEAM0.9757
TMF2.3317
TQQQ1.0471
TSLA0.1907
UNH0.1902
UPRO0.5739
URA1.8789
URTH0.4015
USD0.0000
UUP2.8245
VAW0.3510
VCR0.2036
VDC0.3592
VDE0.5433
VFH0.6037
VGT0.6923
VHT0.2697
VIS0.2279
VLUE0.4121
VNQ0.8306
VOX0.4295
VPU0.4194
VTV0.3747
W1TA.DE1.7005
WM0.3607
WOOD1.2165
XAIX.DE0.3868

Research & documentation

🛡️ Skin in the game: Our principals and founders deploy their own capital alongside our clients using these exact quantitative models. We are aligned with your downside.

Other strategies in the Regime-adaptive family:


For professional investors

Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.

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