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Investment thesis

Portfolio optimisation — economic intuition. Given a universe of imperfectly-correlated return streams, convex optimisation (Markowitz, risk-parity, recursive decay) produces weights that dominate naive equal-weight on a risk-adjusted basis. The edge is not in alpha discovery but in the disciplined combination of existing signals — consistent with institutional multi-manager allocation.

Risk-adjusted performance — live track record

Forward-tested daily against live market data. Metrics derived from end-of-day portfolio marks; methodology documented on the Due Diligence and About pages.

ReturnValueRisk-adjustedValue
Current portfolio worth$10843.61Sharpe ratio1.58
Total return8.44%Sortino ratio1.24
CAGR37.93%Calmar ratio3.32
Volatility (annualised)19.75%Profit factor1.46
Days live71Maximum drawdown-11.43%

Process consistency

Positive months66.7%
Best month13.11%
Worst month-9.95%
Recovery from max drawdownstill underwater

Market independence

Correlation and beta versus passive benchmarks, computed over the full live series.

BenchmarkCorrelation90-day rolling correlationBeta
S&P 500 (SPY)0.550.000.99
Bitcoin (BTC-USD)0.130.000.08

A correlation materially below 1.0 to both benchmarks indicates the strategy’s returns are not a simple re-expression of long equity or long crypto beta.

Equity curve

Live track record — forward-tested performance from the strategy's production start date.

SynthesizedHyperConvexityBot live equity curve

Drawdown profile

Underwater curve — percentage below the running high-water mark. Institutional allocators read this before the equity curve.

SynthesizedHyperConvexityBot drawdown profile

Current holdings

SymbolQuantity
TQQQ32.7206
USD8141.5445

Research & documentation

🛡️ Skin in the game: Our principals and founders deploy their own capital alongside our clients using these exact quantitative models. We are aligned with your downside.

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For professional investors

Request the investor deck, DDQ, and extended analytics. Firm-gated and reviewed manually.

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